{"id":419,"date":"2017-11-20T15:00:17","date_gmt":"2017-11-20T07:00:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/charltonsnaturalresources.com\/?p=419"},"modified":"2021-08-16T16:03:28","modified_gmt":"2021-08-16T08:03:28","slug":"iea-predict-u-s-will-account-for-most-of-world-oils-output-growth-over-next-decade","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/charltonsnaturalresources.com\/en\/iea-predict-u-s-will-account-for-most-of-world-oils-output-growth-over-next-decade\/","title":{"rendered":"IEA predict U.S. will account for most of  world  oil\u2019s  output  growth  over  next decade"},"content":{"rendered":"[et_pb_section fb_built=&#8221;1&#8243; admin_label=&#8221;CNR NEWSLETTER&#8221; module_class=&#8221;cnl-wrapper&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.4.3&#8243;][et_pb_row admin_label=&#8221;Header&#8221; module_class=&#8221;cnr-nl-header&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.4.3&#8243;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.4.2&#8243;][et_pb_text admin_label=&#8221;Header&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.4.3&#8243;]<div class=\"cnl-header\">\r\n<div class=\"cnl-type\">NATURAL RESOURCES<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"cnl-issue\">Newsletter-Issue 028<\/div>\r\n<\/div>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row admin_label=&#8221;Logo&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.4.3&#8243;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.4.3&#8243;][et_pb_text admin_label=&#8221;Logo&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.4.3&#8243;]<div class=\"cnl-logo\">\r\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/legal\/newsletters\/cnl_logo.jpg\" alt=\"Charltons Natural Resources\" \/>\r\n<\/div>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row admin_label=&#8221;Banner&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.4.3&#8243;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.4.3&#8243;][et_pb_text admin_label=&#8221;Banner&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.4.3&#8243;]<div class=\"cnl-banner\">\r\n<div class=\"cnl-banner-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/legal\/newsletters\/newsletter_issue_028.jpg\" alt=\"IEA predict U.S. will account for most of  world  oil\u2019s  output  growth  over  next decade\" \/><\/div>\r\n<div class=\"cnl-title\">\r\n<div>\r\n<span>November 2017<\/span>\r\n<h1>IEA predict U.S. will account for most of  world  oil\u2019s  output  growth  over  next decade<\/h1>\r\n<div class=\"cnl-pdf\"><a href=\"\/images\/stories\/newsletters\/naturalresources\/2017\/IEA-predict-United-States-will-account-for-most-of-world-oils-output-growth-over-next-decade.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Download PDF<\/a><\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n\r\n<\/div>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row column_structure=&#8221;1_2,1_2&#8243; admin_label=&#8221;Content&#8221; module_class=&#8221;cnl-main-content&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.4.3&#8243;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;1_2&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.4.3&#8243;][et_pb_text admin_label=&#8221;column1&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.4.3&#8243;]<div class=\"cnl-column cnl-col1\">\r\n<div class=\"cnl-text\">\r\n<p>The  International  Energy  Agency  (\u201c<strong>IEA<\/strong>\u201d)  has  said  it  expects  the U.S to account for more than 80% of global oil production growth  over  the  next  10  years  and  to  produce  30%  more  gas  than  Russia  in  the  same  period.    Speaking  at  \u2018COP-23\u2019 the UN Convention\u2019s on climate change, taking place in Bonn, Germany, IEA head Fatih Birol, said the United States, whose upstream energy industry has seen a resurgence with the  development  of  fracking  technology,  would  become  the \u201cundisputed  leader  of  oil  and  gas  production  worldwide\u201d  and  that  \u201cthis  has  implications  for  the  oil  markets,  prices,  trade flows, investment trends and the geopolitics of energy,\u201d He said the IEA expected oil markets to rebalance in 2018 if oil demand remained  \u201cmore  or  less\u201d  as  robust  as  it  was  now  and  if  the  Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (\u201c<strong>OPEC<\/strong>\u201d) and its allies extended output cuts. OPEC and other producers are expected to extend production cuts beyond a March 2018 deadline in a bid to cut oversupply. The Paris-based IEA cut its oil demand forecast in its monthly report for October 2017 by 100,000 barrels per day (\u201c<strong>bpd<\/strong>\u201d) for 2017 and 2018, to an estimated 1.5 million bpd and 1.3 million bpd, respectively. It also said oil inventories in the developed world fell by 40 million barrels in September 2017, dropping below 3.0 billion barrels for the first time in two years. According to OPEC, inventories were  154  million  barrels  above  the  five-year  average  in September 2017. OPEC states have said they want to reduce stocks to their five-year average. (Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-oil-iea-birol\/u-s-to-account-for-most-world-oil-output-growth-over-10-years-iea-idUSKBN1DG1XP\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-oil-iea-birol\/u-s-to-account-for-most-world-oil-output-growth-over-10-years-iea-idUSKBN1DG1XP<\/a>; 16 November 2017) <\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"cnl-text\">\r\n<h2>Norway\u2019s     sovereign     wealth     fund     proposes to end oil and gas investment<\/h2>\r\n<p>Norway\u2019s trillion-dollar sovereign wealth fund (the Government Pension  Fund  of  Norway)  has  proposed  divesting  from  its investments in oil and gas stocks, warning that the country already  has  enough  exposure  to  the  petroleum  sector.  The  Norwegian central bank, which runs the Oslo-based fund, has stated it believes that divesting from its oil and gas holdings, which  include  stakes  in  companies  such  as  BP  Plc,  Royal Dutch  Shell  Plc,  Total  S.A,  Chevron  Corp  and  ExxonMobil Corp\u2014 would make the country\u2019s wealth \u201cless vulnerable to a permanent drop in oil and gas prices\u201d. The central bank said Norway\u2019s own energy sector and the government\u2019s controlling stake in Statoil ASA, the national oil company, was the driver for  its  proposal.  The  bank  said  in  a  letter  to  the  finance ministry that it took no view on the future path of oil and gas prices  or  the  \u201csustainability\u201d  of  the  sector,  but  the  proposal follows  a  three-year  downturn  in  energy  prices  that  has  hurt  the country\u2019s growth and government revenues. The central bank said its analysis suggested that during times of stable oil prices, energy stocks were closely correlated with the broader market, but tended to fall much harder when oil and gas prices dropped. The fund is not expected to sell immediately because the  proposal  needs  to  be  approved  by  the  government  and  parliament.  Norway  produces  more  than  3.7m  barrels  of  oil  equivalent a day of liquids and gas output, making it Western Europe\u2019s biggest energy producer, despite a population of just 5.2m people. Norway\u2019s finance ministry said it would study the proposal, with the government expected to make a decision in autumn 2018. (Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/611c2e9e-cad9-11e7-aa33-c63fdc9b8c6c\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/611c2e9e-cad9-11e7-aa33-c63fdc9b8c6c<\/a>; 16 November 2017)<\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"cnl-text cnl-next-col\">\r\n<h2>Russian fund plans US$1 billion mining venture with China Gold<\/h2>\r\n<p>Russia\u2019s  state-owned  Far  East  Development  Fund  (\u201c<strong>Far East<\/strong>\u201d) is in talks to create a US$1 billion joint venture with China\u2019s state-owned gold producer China National Gold Group (\u201c<strong>China  Gold<\/strong>\u201d).  According  to  Far  East\u2019s  Chief  Executive Officer, Alexey Chekunkov Far East and China Gold will create an  attractive  financial  platform  for  private  investors  with  a primary goal \u201cto invest in gold, precious metals and copper projects.\u201d It is anticipated Far East and China Gold will enter into a formal agreement to create the mining fund by the end of 2017. The new fund is expected to be worth approximately US$500 million and may make its first investment in 2018.  Far East and China Gold will each invest US$100 million, with a further US$300 million from private investors. China Gold is the only central state-owned enterprise in China\u2019s gold industry under  the  supervision  of  State-owned  Assets  Supervision  Administration Commission of the State Council. Far East is an investment fund operated by Russia\u2019s Bank for Development and Foreign Economic Affairs. Far East facilitates the inflow of investments into the far east and the Baikal region by providing a  preferential  (from  5%  per  annum  in  rubles)  and  long-term  financing  of  priority  investment  projects  in  various  sectors (infrastructure, mining and processing of minerals, support of small and medium businesses, agriculture).The total amount of the Far East\u2019s assets as of June 2017 is 37 billion rubles (or  approximately  US$620  million).  (Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2017-11-09\/russian-fund-plans-a-1-billion-mining-venture-with-china-gold\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2017-11-09\/russian-fund-plans-a-1-billion-mining-venture-with-china-gold<\/a>; 9 November 2017)<\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][et_pb_column type=&#8221;1_2&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.4.3&#8243;][et_pb_text admin_label=&#8221;column2&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.4.3&#8243;]<div class=\"cnl-column cnl-col2\">\r\n<div class=\"cnl-text\">\r\n<h2>ONGC  and  Vedanta  Limited  principal  bidders in India\u2019s maiden open acreage licensing regime auction<\/h2>\r\n<p>Indian state-owned Oil and Natural Gas Corp (\u201c<strong>ONGC<\/strong>\u201d)  and  Vedanta  Limited  were  the  two  principal  bidders  in  India\u2019s maiden  open  acreage  licensing  regime  auction  that  was  shunned by several major global and domestic players. ONGC lodged expressions of interest in respect to exploration for oil and gas in 41 areas while Vedanta\u2019s oil unit, Cairn India Limited lodged  expressions  of  interest  in  respect  to  15  areas.  The  state-owned Oil India Limited was the other main bidder, while private player Hindustan Oil Exploration Limited bid for a single exploration block. None of the major private companies lodged expressions  of  interest.  In  July  2017,    India  opened  up  2.8 million sq km of sedimentary basins for oil and gas exploration under the Open Acreage Licensing (\u201c<strong>OAL<\/strong>\u201d) regime in a bid to raise domestic production and cut excessive dependence on imports. The OAL allows companies to select any area that is presently not under any production or exploration license. The OAL replaces the old system whereby the government carved out areas prior to bidding them out. Once an expression of interest is received for an for an area, it is put out as part of a competitive bidding and any company offering the government maximum  share  of  oil  and  gas  can  be  awarded  the  block.  The  OAL  scheme  is  carried  out  in  accordance  with  the Government\u2019s Hydrocarbon Exploration and Licensing Policy which  guarantees  marketing  and  pricing  freedom  and  which  was a move away from production sharing model of previous rounds to a revenue sharing model where companies offering maximum  share  of  oil  and  gas  to  government  are  awarded  the  block.  Since  2000  256  blocks  had  been  offered  for  exploration and production. The last bidding round took place in 2010. Of thes256 blocks awarded since 2010 as many as 156 have already been relinquished due to poor prospectivity. (Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/economictimes.indiatimes.com\/industry\/energy\/oil-gas\/ongc-cairn-bid-for-41-oil-and-gas-areas\/articleshow\/61656586.cms\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/economictimes.indiatimes.com\/industry\/energy\/oil-gas\/ongc-cairn-bid-for-41-oil-and-gas-areas\/articleshow\/61656586.cms<\/a>; 15 November 2017)<\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"cnl-text last-row\">\r\n<h2>Trading of iron ore futures commences on HKEX<\/h2>\r\n<p>Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited\u2018s (\u201c<strong>HKEX<\/strong>\u201d) first ferrous metal product, cash-settled TSI Iron Ore Fines 62% FE CFR China Futures (\u201c<strong>Iron Ore Futures<\/strong>\u201d) commenced trading on 13 November 2017, with total volume of 1,022 contracts, equivalent to 102,200 tonnes of iron ore, during the day trading session.  As  an  exchange-traded  product,  Iron  Ore  Futures aims to provide maximum price transparency and equal access to  all  market  participants  by  improving  the  price  discovery  process in the iron ore derivatives market. Liquidity providers provided narrow continuous quotes of approximately 10 \u2013 20 ticks (i.e. US$0.1 &#8211; 0.2 bid\/ask spread) on screen throughout the  day.  There  was  healthy  and  diverse  participation  from  a  broad  range  of  market  participants  including  physical  trading  firms, steel mills, commodity funds, financial institutions and professional investors from Asia, Europe and the Americas. A total of 11 Exchange Participants traded the new contract. To encourage market participation and initial liquidity building, HKEX  announced  before  rollout  that  there  would  be  an Exchange  Fee  waiver  and  100%  Securities  and  Futures Commission  levy  exemption  during  the  first  six  months of  trading.  (Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.hkex.com.hk\/News\/News-Release\/2017\/171113news?sc_lang=en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">http:\/\/www.hkex.com.hk\/News\/News-Release\/2017\/171113news?sc_lang=en<\/a>; 13 November 2017)<\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row admin_label=&#8221;Button Navs&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.4.3&#8243;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.4.3&#8243;][et_pb_text admin_label=&#8221;navs&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.4.3&#8243;]<div class=\"cnl-bott-navs\">\r\n<div><span><\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/charltonsnaturalresources.com\/en\/london-metal-exchange-sets-out-strategic-pathway-to-drive-growth\/\" target=\"_self\">London Metal Exchange sets out strategic pathway to drive growth<\/a><\/div>\r\n<div><a href=\"https:\/\/charltonsnaturalresources.com\/en\/greater-asia-home-to-half-of-the-worlds-biggest-mining-companies\/\" target=\"_self\">Greater Asia Home to Half of the World\u2019s Biggest Mining Companies<\/a><span><\/span><\/div>\r\n<\/div>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row admin_label=&#8221;Legal Advice&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.4.3&#8243;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.4.3&#8243;][et_pb_text admin_label=&#8221;Legal Advice&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.4.3&#8243;]<div class=\"cnl-legal-advice\">\r\n<h3>This newsletter is for information purposes only.<\/h3>\r\n<p>Its contents do not constitute legal advice and it should not be regarded as a substitute for detailed advice in individual cases.\r\nTransmission of this information is not intended to create and receipt does not constitute a lawyer-client relationship between Charltons and the user or browser.\r\nCharltons is not responsible for any third party content which can be accessed through the website.<\/p>\r\n<p>If you do not wish to receive this newsletter please let us know by emailing us at <a href=\"mailto:unsubscribe@charltonslaw.com\">unsubscribe@charltonslaw.com<\/a><\/p>\r\n<\/div>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row admin_label=&#8221;Footer&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.4.3&#8243; disabled_on=&#8221;on|on|on&#8221; disabled=&#8221;on&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.4.3&#8243;][et_pb_text admin_label=&#8221;Footer&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.4.3&#8243;]<div class=\"cnl-footer\">\r\n        <div class=\"cnl-footer-award\">\r\n                <div>\r\n                       <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/legal\/newsletters\/cnl_logo_footer.png\">\r\n                        <h2>Boutique Transactional Law Firm of the Year 2017<\/h2>\r\n                        <span>Asian Legal Business Awards<\/span>\r\n                <\/div>\r\n        <\/div>        \r\n<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"cnl-foot-address\">\r\n        <div>Hong Kong Office: Dominion Centre, 12th Floor, 43-59 Queen\u2019s Road East, Hong Kong Tel: + (852) 2905 7888 Fax: + (852) 2854 9596<\/div>\r\n        <div>Website: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.charltonslaw.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.charltonslaw.com<\/a><\/div>\r\n<\/div>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section]","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The International Energy Agency (\u201cIEA\u201d) has said it expects the U.S to account for more than 80% of global oil production growth over the next 10 years and to produce 30% more gas than Russia in the same period. Speaking at \u2018COP-23\u2019 the UN Convention\u2019s on climate change, taking place in Bonn, Germany, IEA head Fatih Birol, said the United States, whose upstream energy industry has seen a resurgence with the development of fracking technology, would become the \u201cundisputed leader of oil and gas production worldwide\u201d and that \u201cthis has implications for the oil markets, prices, trade flows, investment trends and the geopolitics of energy,\u201d He said the IEA expected oil markets to rebalance in 2018 if oil demand remained \u201cmore or less\u201d as robust as it was now and if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (\u201cOPEC\u201d) and its allies extended output cuts.","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":233606,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"on","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","inline_featured_image":false,"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.charltonsnaturalresources.com\/legal\/news\/newsletter\/iea-predict-u-s-will-account-for-most-of-world-oils-output-growth-over-next-decade.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"IEA predict U.S. will account for most of  world  oil\u2019s  output  growth  over  next decade","footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-419","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","cat-23-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/charltonsnaturalresources.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/419","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/charltonsnaturalresources.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/charltonsnaturalresources.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/charltonsnaturalresources.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/charltonsnaturalresources.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=419"}],"version-history":[{"count":48,"href":"https:\/\/charltonsnaturalresources.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/419\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":233604,"href":"https:\/\/charltonsnaturalresources.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/419\/revisions\/233604"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/charltonsnaturalresources.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/233606"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/charltonsnaturalresources.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=419"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/charltonsnaturalresources.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=419"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/charltonsnaturalresources.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=419"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}